Bill Harris on the Brammertz Report
Lebanon scholar William Harris, author of the excellent The New Face
of Lebanon, wrote a commentary in the DS on the Brammertz report.
Harris points out that "Syria is as much the main focus for Brammertz
as it was for Mehlis." For instance, Harris writes, "[n]o other state
or organization is named in this regard [to provide 'full and
unconditional cooperation'], and the report comments that 'based on
the information received, further requests will be formulated and
addressed to Syria'." Furthermore, Harris sees that the suspected
linkages between the Hariri case and the 14 other bombings "inevitably
focus attention on the Syrian and Lebanese security services."
Brammertz has recommended the UNIIIC intervene in the investigations
into those cases.
Moreover, Harris adds, "Brammertz confidently claims "considerable
progress" despite the otherwise tentative language of the report.
Assuming this is the reality, he has obviously made advances beyond
the cautious assessment presented in the text. The steady build-up of
personnel, expertise, and resources indicates intense commitment and
forward momentum. Combined with the deep engagement of UN Security
Council credibility, this is ultimately bad news for the murderers."
As for the repercussions on Lebanon and Assad's destabilization
campaign, Harris writes: "As for Lebanon, the report means the country
will endure more months of political paralysis while the Hariri
investigation grinds on toward a full prosecution brief for a
'tribunal of an international character.' Given that the futures of
both Lebanon and the Syrian Baathist regime are at stake, tension and
possibly turbulence can be expected to increase later this year.
Brammertz anticipates coming dangers when he remarks, 'the focus of
the investigation increases the probability of individuals or groups
attempting to execute threats against the Commission or its personnel
for the purpose of disrupting its mandate.' Again, it is apparent that
the commission has already determined that a large apparatus was
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